U.S. Senate Vote Choice If Hutchison Resigned (February 2010)

U.S. Senate Vote Choice If Hutchison Resigned (February 2010)

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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"

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categorycolumn-1
Roger Williams (Republican)1%
Craig James (Republican)1%
David Dewhurst (Republican)15%
Michael Williams (Republican)3%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)2%
John Sharp (Democrat)29%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%
Don't know47%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Roger Williams (Republican)0%0%2%
Craig James (Republican)0%0%2%
David Dewhurst (Republican)3%13%28%
Michael Williams (Republican)0%4%6%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)1%10%2%
John Sharp (Democrat)64%10%1%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%3%2%
Don't know32%60%56%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Roger Williams (Republican)0%3%3%
Craig James (Republican)4%1%3%
David Dewhurst (Republican)20%24%32%
Michael Williams (Republican)6%4%7%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)1%5%1%
John Sharp (Democrat)3%1%1%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)3%2%2%
Don't know62%61%52%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
David Dewhurst (Republican)2%7%1%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)0%1%1%
John Sharp (Democrat)50%41%76%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)6%0%0%
Don't know42%50%22%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Roger Williams (Republican)0%1%2%
Craig James (Republican)0%0%2%
David Dewhurst (Republican)4%7%24%
Michael Williams (Republican)0%0%6%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)0%2%3%
John Sharp (Democrat)66%40%6%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)0%2%2%
Don't know30%49%55%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Roger Williams (Republican)1%3%2%
Craig James (Republican)1%3%1%
David Dewhurst (Republican)20%25%28%
Michael Williams (Republican)5%7%4%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)7%2%0%
John Sharp (Democrat)12%3%6%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)2%2%1%
Don't know52%55%59%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
David Dewhurst (Republican)5%2%4%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)0%1%0%
John Sharp (Democrat)60%67%80%
Don't know35%30%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Roger Williams (Republican)0%5%1%
Craig James (Republican)0%2%3%
David Dewhurst (Republican)2%37%18%
Michael Williams (Republican)0%6%6%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)1%2%2%
John Sharp (Democrat)71%2%5%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%1%2%
Don't know25%44%63%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the RACE1 variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Roger Williams (Republican)2%1%0%
Craig James (Republican)2%0%1%
David Dewhurst (Republican)17%5%17%
Michael Williams (Republican)3%0%4%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)3%0%2%
John Sharp (Democrat)22%55%31%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%0%3%
Don't know51%40%43%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Roger Williams (Republican)1%1%
Craig James (Republican)2%1%
David Dewhurst (Republican)21%10%
Michael Williams (Republican)4%2%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)2%3%
John Sharp (Democrat)28%29%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%2%
Don't know41%53%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Roger Williams (Republican)2%1%1%
Craig James (Republican)0%2%0%
David Dewhurst (Republican)12%14%23%
Michael Williams (Republican)3%3%2%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)2%3%0%
John Sharp (Democrat)40%25%19%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)1%1%4%
Don't know40%51%52%
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    Respondents were asked, "If Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison resigns from the U.S. Senate and there is a special election to fill her senate seat, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Roger Williams (Republican)9%1%0%3%2%0%
Craig James (Republican)0%1%1%4%2%0%
David Dewhurst (Republican)6%14%16%18%16%15%
Michael Williams (Republican)0%1%4%3%5%6%
Florence Shapiro (Republican)0%1%3%0%4%1%
John Sharp (Democrat)39%20%35%29%28%42%
Elizabeth Ames Jones (Republican)0%1%1%4%1%3%
Don't know45%61%40%40%43%32%

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