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2018 Election Polling in Texas - October 2018 UT/Texas Tribune Poll Version
October 26, 2018 | By: Jim Henson, Joshua Blank

This post will be updated regularly to reflect the release of new public polls. If we're missing a public poll, email us.  For Ross Ramsey's write up of the trial ballot results from the October 2018 UT/Texas Tribune Poll, see his piece in The Texas Tribune.

Most recent update: 11/2/18

2018 Texas Senate Race Polling
Poll Date Sample MOE Cruz (R) O'Rourke (D) Spread
Emerson 10/28 - 10/30 781 LV +/- 3.7% 50 47 Cruz +3
UT Tyler 10/15 - 10/28 905 LV +/- 3.26% 47 43 Cruz +4
CBS 11/Dixie Strategies 10/25 - 10/26 588 LV +/- 4.0% 52 42 Cruz +10
Quinnipiac 10/22 - 10/28 1078 LV +/- 3.5% 51 46 Cruz +5
UT/Texas Tribune 10/15 - 10/21 927 LV +/- 3.22% 51 45 Cruz +6
Reuters/Ipsos/UVA 10/12-10/18 1298 LV +/- 3.1% 49 44 Cruz +5
CNN 10/9 - 10/13 716 LV +/- 4.5% 52 45 Cruz + 7
NYT Upshot/Siena 10/1 - 10/11 800 LV +/- 3/6% 51 43 Cruz +8
Quinnipiac 10/3-10/9 730 LV +/- 4.4% 54 45 Cruz +9
CBS News/YouGov 10/2 - 10/5 470 LV +/- 4.5% 50 44 Cruz +6
Emerson 10/1 - 10/5 500 LV +/- 4.5%* 47 42 Cruz +5
PPP 9/19 - 9/20 603 RV +/- 4.0% 49 46 Cruz +3
PPP 9/19 - 9/20 613 RV +/- 4.0% 48 45 Cruz +3
Reuters/Ipsos/UVA 9/6 - 9/14 992 LV +/- 4.0%* 45 47 O'Rourke +2
Quinnipiac 9/11 - 9/17 807 LV +/- 4.1% 54 45 Cruz +9
Dixie Strategies 9/6 - 9/7 519 LV +/- 4.3% 46 42 Cruz +4
Crosswind 9/6 - 9/9 800 LV +/- 4.0% 47 44 Cruz +3
Emerson 8/22 - 8/25 550 RV +/- 4.4% 39 38 Cruz +1
NBC News/Marist 8/12 - 8/16 759 RV +/- 3.8% 49 45 Cruz +4
Quinnipiac 7/26 - 7/31 1138 RV +/- 3.5% 49 43 Cruz +6
Texas Lyceum 7/9 - 7/26 441 LV +/- 4.7% 41 39 Cruz +2
Gravis 7/3 - 7/7 602 LV +/- 4.0% 51 42 Cruz +9
CBS News/YouGov 6/19 - 6/22 821 LV NA 50 40 Cruz +10
UT/Texas Tribune 6/8 - 6/17 1200 RV +/- 2.8% 41 36 Cruz +5
Quinnipiac 5/23 - 5/29 961 RV +/- 3.8% 50 39 Cruz +11
JMC Analytics 5/19 - 5/21 575 LV +/- 4.1% 47 40 Cruz +7
Quinnipiac 4/12 - 4/17 1029 RV +/- 3.6% 47 44 Cruz +3
2018 Texas Gubernatorial Race Polling
Poll Date Sample MOE Abbott (R) Valdez (D) Spread
Emerson 10/28 - 10/30 781 LV +/- 3.7% 51 43 Abbott +8
UT Tyler 10/15 - 10/28 1033 AD +/- 3.0% 53 32 Abbott +21
CBS 11/Dixie Strategies 10/25 - 10/26 588 LV +/- 4.0% 59 33 Abbott +26
Quinnipiac 10/22 - 10/28 1078 LV +/- 3.5% 54 40 Abbott +14
UT/Texas Tribune 10/15 - 10/21 927 LV +/- 3.22% 56 37 Abbott +19
Reuters/Ipsos/UVA 10/12-10/18 1298 LV +/- 3.1% 53 38 Abbott +15
CNN 10/9 - 10/13 716 LV +/- 4.5% 57 39 Abbott +18
Quinnipiac 10/3-10/9 730 LV +/- 4.4% 58 38 Abbott +20
Emerson 10/1 - 10/5 500 LV +/- 4.5%* 53 33 Abbott +20
Reuters/Ipsos/UVA 9/6 - 9/14 992 LV +/- 4.0%* 50 41 Abbott +9
Quinnipiac 9/11 - 9/17 807 LV +/- 4.1% 58 39 Abbott +19
Dixie Strategies 9/6 - 9/7 519 LV +/- 4.3% 53 34 Abbott +9
Crosswind 9/6 - 9/9 800 LV +/- 4.0% 52 39 Abbott +13
Emerson 8/22 - 8/25 550 RV +/- 4.4% 48 28 Abbott +20
NBC News/Marist 8/12 - 8/16 759 RV +/- 3.8% 56 37 Abbott +19
Quinnipiac 7/26 - 7/31 1138 RV +/- 3.5% 51 38 Abbott +13
Texas Lyceum 7/9 - 7/26 441 LV +/- 4.7% 47 31 Abbott +16
Gravis 7/3 - 7/7 602 LV +/- 4.0% 51 41 Abbott +10
UT/Texas Tribune 6/8 - 6/17 1200 RV +/- 2.8% 44 32 Abbott +12
Quinnipiac 5/23 - 5/29 961 RV +/- 3.8% 53 34 Abbott +19
JMC Analytics 5/19 - 5/21 575 LV +/- 4.1% 48 36 Abbott +12
Quinnipiac 4/12 - 4/17 1029 RV +/- 3.6% 49 40 Abbott +9
2018 Texas Liuetenant Governor Race Polling
Poll Date Sample MOE Patrick (R) Collier (D) Spread
UT Tyler 10/15 - 10/28 1033 AD +/- 3.0% 45 32 Patrick +13
CBS 11/Dixie Strategies 10/25 - 10/26 588 LV +/- 4.0% 51 40 Patrick +11
UT/Texas Tribune 10/15-10/21 927 LV +/-3.22% 53 35 Patrick +18
Dixie Strategies 9/6 - 9/7 519 LV +/- 4.3% 45 39 Patrick +6
Texas Lyceum 7/9 - 7/26 441 LV +/- 4.7% 39 29 Patrick +10
Gravis 7/3 - 7/7 602 LV +/- 4.0% 46 44 Patrick +2
UT/Texas Tribune 6/8 - 6/17 1200 RV +/- 2.8% 37 31 Patrick +6
2018 Texas Attorney General Race Polling
Poll Date Sample MOE Paxton (R) Nelson (D) Spread
CBS 11/ Dixie Strategies 10/25 - 10/26 588 LV +/- 4.0% 50 41 Paxton +9
UT/Texas Tribune  10/15-10/21 927 LV +/- 3.22% 48 36 Paxton +12
Dixie Strategies 9/6 - 9/7 519 LV +/- 4.3% 45 39 Paxton +6
Texas Lyceum 7/9 - 7/26 441 LV +/- 4.7% 35 25 Paxton +10
Gravis 7/3 - 7/7 602 LV +/- 4.0% 45 41 Paxton +4
UT/Texas Tribune 6/8 - 6/17 1200 RV +/- 2.8% 32 31 Paxton +1

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