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August 21, 2024 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
Whatever the mix of factors — a lack of awareness of the specifics of what the legislature has tried to do, the extreme complexity of the issues involved, or a general lack of trust in political institutions — polling throughout the two sessions has shown a consistent a lack of confidence in what the state’s political leadership is doing to increase the reliability and resilience of the grid.
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Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Mike Collier."
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Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Mike Collier.". Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November elections on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Dan Patrick”, “the Democrat Mike Collier”, “the Libertairn Shanna Steele”] the Republican Dan Patrick, the Democrat Mike Collier, the Libertarian Shanna Steele, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]". Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought enough about the election to have an opinion were asked a follow-up question: “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Responses to this item were folded into those who initially indicated a preference. Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November eletions on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
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September 14, 2022 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
The latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds Gov. Greg Abbott sustaining a polling lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 45%-40%, albeit one that has narrowed as the gubernatorial campaign enters its final and most public phase. Beyond the top lines of the gubernatorial trial ballot, the poll results illuminate an election environment in which the gubernatorial contest between Abbott and O’Rourke is the most competitive race for the office Texas has seen in decades. Yet the results also reveal the advantages Abbott still enjoys among the Texas electorate, and the significant obstacles O’Rourke still faces in putting together a coalition of voters capable of overcoming the advantages, political and structural, that Abbott enjoys.
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Dan Patrick”, “the Democrat Mike Collier”, “the Libertairn Shanna Steele”] the Republican Dan Patrick, the Democrat Mike Collier, the Libertarian Shanna Steele, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]"
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Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Mike Collier."
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July 06, 2022 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
A new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll finds 15% of Texans expressing support for a complete ban on abortion access in polling conducted primarily in the week prior to the U.S. Supreme Court’s announcement of its landmark opinion overturning Roe v. Wade. While 37% of Texas voters say that they support "trigger law" that would ban abortion in most cases in Texas in the wake of the Supreme Court’s ruling, no more than 36% would foreclose all access to legal abortion across a range of circumstances.
The survey also found Texans expressing overwhelmingly negative views of the economy: 53% said that their personal economic situation is worse than a year ago; 58% said the Texas economy is worse than a year ago; and 73% said the national economy is worse than it was a year ago. All three represented the highest negative assessments since the poll began tracking these attitudes. With elections for statewide offices and the Texas legislature just over four months away, 59% said the state was on the wrong track — the largest share of negative responses in the poll’s history.
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Dan Patrick”, “the Democrat Mike Collier”, “the Libertairn Shanna Steele”] the Republican Dan Patrick, the Democrat Mike Collier, the Libertarian Shanna Steele, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]"
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May 05, 2022 | By:
Joshua Blank,
Jim Henson
The majority of the April University of Texas / Texas Politics Project poll focused on the many issues currently facing the state and the country, many of which we expect to continue being a large part of the public discussion in the lead-up to the November elections. Taking into account that the general election remians several months in the future, the items in the poll related to the election were designed to assess attitudes toward candidates in the the most prominent upcoming Texas run-offs, and eventually, in the general election. We've compiled some results to these items with a particular emphasis on the overall views and those among key groups of voters, whether in the upcoming general (e.g. independents, Hispanics, suburban voters), or in the upcoming primary run-offs (e.g. committed partisans, ideologues, and others).
