Donald Trump's Standing in Texas Ahead of the State of the Union Address

Donald Trump will give his first official State of the Union Address tonight at 8 PM central time (his first speech to Congress upon being elected in 2017 isn't technically a State of the Union Address). Here are five quick observations about Donald Trump's standing in Texas to provide some context for tonight's address – to wit, he has been consistently popular among Texas Republicans, just as consistently intensely unpopular among Texas Democrats, and remains in better standing with his GOP base in Texas than the collective members of Congress he'll be addressing tonight.

All of the graphics contained below can be found here and are exportable, embed-able, and printable.

1. Donald Trump is very popular among Texas Republicans. The president's approval rating among Republicans sits at 78 percent as recently as October of 2017, essentially unchanged from June of last year, when his approval rating among Republicans was 80 percent.

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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Approve strongly3%31%47%
Approve somewhat2%24%31%
Neither approve nor disapprove3%9%6%
Disapprove somewhat8%10%7%
Disapprove strongly84%25%8%
Don't know1%1%1%

2. Texas Democrats strongly disapprove of the President's job performance – but not remarkably. The results above also show that 84 percent of Texas Democrats strongly disapprove of President Trump's job performance so far, with 92 percent disapproving overall. While there have been some grumblings that Democratic disapproval of the President is the result of partisan hysteria on the left, evidence contradicts this assertion. In October of 2009, 89 percent of Texas Republicans disapproved of President Obama's job performance, with 80 percent disapproving strongly.

3. Attitudes towards Trump have been incredibly consistent since he took office. For those who follow politics closely, it's easy to feel like the first year of the Trump Presidency has packed in more noteworthy events than either of the previous two occupants' eight years in office, but so far Texans' attitudes toward the president have remained remarkably consistent over his first year.

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categoryApproveDisapproveNeither/Don't know
February 201746%44%11%
June 201743%51%7%
October 201745%50%6%
February 201846%46%8%
June 201847%44%8%

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PollApproveDisapproveNeither/Don't know
February 201781%10%8%
June 201780%13%7%
October 201778%15%7%
February 201883%11%5%
June 201887%7%6%

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PollApproveDisapproveNeither/Don't know
February 20178%83%10%
June 20175%90%5%
October 20175%92%4%
February 20188%85%8%
June 20188%84%9%

4. Texas Republicans are much more pleased with Donald Trump's handling of the Republican Congress than Congress appears to be. Overall, evaluations of the President's handling of relations with the Congress is low, with 46 percent disapproving and 33 percent approving, but it's hard to determine exactly what Democratic disapproval means (i.e. would they like him to work better with the Congress, or do they simply disapprove of everything he does?). Among Republicans, however, 57 percent approve of the way that Trump is handling the Congress, compared to only 18 percent who disapprove. GOP views are likely a function of dim views among GOP voters, despite Republican majorities in both chambers. To wit...

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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Approve strongly3%23%26%
Approve somewhat1%13%31%
Neither approve nor disapprove9%22%19%
Disapprove somewhat20%12%10%
Disapprove strongly63%19%8%
Don't know4%10%6%

5. The Congress, President Trump's in-house audience for tonight's speech, is viewed incredibly negatively (and is also far less trusted than the President himself among Texas Republicans). The studio audience for tonight's event sits in a continual state of disesteem, with only 12 percent of Texans approving and 69 percent disapproving. Interestingly, Republican views of the Republican Congress don't fair much better, with 16 percent expressing approval and 44 percent expressing disapproval. Finally, when asked which branch of the federal government they trust most, Republicans overwhelming chose the President (47 percent), with a mere 3 percent choosing the Congress. Ouch!

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categoryTotal
Approve strongly2%
Approve somewhat10%
Neither approve nor disapprove15%
Disapprove somewhat24%
Disapprove strongly45%
Don't know3%

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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Approve strongly2%0%1%
Approve somewhat6%9%15%
Neither approve nor disapprove13%17%17%
Disapprove somewhat24%19%25%
Disapprove strongly51%51%39%
Don't know4%4%2%

[[nid:23942 exclude=Democrat,Independent]]