October 2014 UT/Texas Tribune Poll Finds Republican Candidates With Large Leads in Statewide Races
The October 2014 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll found Republican candidates favored over Democratic candidates by substantial margins in several statewide general election contests, with the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Attorney General Greg Abbott, leading the Democratic candidate, state Senator Wendy Davis of Fort Worth, by a 16-point margin, 54 percent to 38 percent. Six percent of likely voters chose Libertarian candidate Kathie Glass, and Green Candidate Brandon Parmer was the choice of 2 percent.
The statewide poll, conducted Oct. 10-19, surveyed 1,200 registered voters in Texas and had a margin of error of +/-3.28 percentage points. The election match-ups report the preference of 866 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/-3.33 percentage points; 3.60+/- percentage points adjusted for weighting.
Republican candidates also dominated the other statewide match-ups. Incumbent U.S. Senator John Cornyn enjoyed a comfortable 57 percent to 31 percent lead over Democratic challenger David Alameel, with Libertarian Rebecca Paddock receiving 7 percent and Green Party candidate Emily "Spicybrown" Sanchez receiving 5 percent. In the closely watched contest to replace David Dewhurst as Lieutenant Governor, Republican State Senator Dan Patrick of Houston was the choice of 52 percent of likely voters, trailed by Democratic State Senator Leticia Van de Putte with 35 percent. Libertarian Robert D. Butler received 9 percent, and Green Party candidate Chandrakantha Courtney received 4 percent.
You can read Ross Ramsey's rollout story on the election match up results in the Texas Tribune. We'll drill down more into the results in a later post.
For now, results from other statewide races:
| Attorney General |
| Ken Paxton |
54% |
| Sam Houston |
34% |
| Jamie Balagia |
8% |
| Jamar Osborne |
4% |
For more information on the Attorney General Race, including graphics with important cross-tabs, see here.
| Comptroller |
| Glenn Hegar |
49% |
| Mike Collier |
34% |
| Ben Sanders |
11% |
| Deb Shafto |
6% |
For more information on the Comptroller's race, including graphics with important cross-tabs, see here.
| Land Commissioner |
| George P. Bush |
50% |
| John Cook |
32% |
| Justin Knight |
10% |
| Valerie Alessi |
7% |
For more information on the Land Commissioner race, including graphics with important cross-tabs, see here.
| Commissioner of Agriculture |
| Sid Miller |
47% |
| Jim Hogan |
35% |
| David (Rocky) Palmquist |
9% |
| Kenneth Kendrick |
9% |
For more information on the Agriculture Commissioner race, including graphics with important cross-tabs, see here.
| Railroad Commission |
| Ryan Sitton |
48% |
| Steve Brown |
34% |
| Mark A. Miller |
10% |
| Martina Salinas |
9% |
For more information on the Railroad Commission race, including graphics with important cross-tabs, see here.
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