Texas 2024 Presidential Poll Tracker

UPDATED October 30, 2024: Added the Cooperative Election Study, which has an overall Texas sample of 6,473 respondents, but doesn't indicate how many of those are likely voters (and therefore) the margin of error for the estimate. Added University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research survey.

Texas Presidential Election Polling (Trump-Harris)

Poll Field Dates Sample Size Sample MOE Trump Harris Spread
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research 10/14-10/21/2024 956 LV 4.0% 51% 46% Trump +5
Cooperative Election Study 10/1-10/25/2024 6473* LV   51% 47% Trump +4
New York Times/Siena College 10/23-10/26/2024 1180 LV 3.3% 51% 40% Trump +11
Activote 10/21-10/27/2024 400 LV 4.9% 55% 45% Trump +10
Emerson College/The Hill 10/18-10/21/2024 815 LV 3.4% 53% 46% Trump +7
Activote 10/1-10/15/2024 400 LV 4.9% 56% 44% Trump +12
Morning Consult 10/6-10/15/2024 2048 LV   50% 46% Trump +4
UT/Texas Politics Project 10/2-10/10/2024 1091 LV 2.97% 51% 46% Trump +5
Hobby School of Public Affairs 9/26-10/10/2024 1329 LV 2.69% 51% 46% Trump +5
Marist 10/3-10/7/2024 1186 LV 3.6% 53% 46% Trump +7
Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research 10/2-10/6/2024 811 RV 3.4% 50% 45% Trump +5
New York Times/Sienna College 9/29-10/4/2024 617 LV 4.8% 49% 42% Trump +7
Public Policy Polling (Clean and Prosperous America PAC) 9/25-9/26/2024 759 RV 3.5% 51% 46% Trump +5
New York Times/Sienna College 9/21-9/26/2024 617 LV 4.8% 50% 44% Trump +6
Emerson College Polling/The Hill/Nexstar 9/22-9/24-2024 950 LV 3.1% 51% 46% Trump +5
ActiVote 9/7-9/24/2024 400 LV 4.9% 54% 46% Trump +9
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation 9/13-9/18/2024 1200 LV 2.83% 50% 44% Trump +6
Morning Consult 9/9-9/18/2024 2716 LV   50% 45% Trump +4
Emerson College/Nexstar 9/3-9/5/2024 845 LV 3.3% 50% 46% Trump +4
Morning Consult  8/30-9/8/2024 2940 LV   52% 43% Trump +9
UT/Texas Politics Project 8/23/-8/31/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 49% 44% Trump +5
Texas Pubic Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners 8/24-8/29/2024 800 RV +/-3.5% 51% 43% Trump +8
Activote 8/14-8/31/2024 400 LV 4.9% 54.5% 45.5% Trump +9
Clean and Prosperous America PAC/Public Policy Polling 8/21-8/22/2024 725 RV 4.9% 49% 44% Trump +5
University of Houston/Texas Southern University 8/5-8/16/2024 1365 LV  2.65% 49.5% 44.6% Trump +5

 

Texas Presidential Election Polling (Trump-Biden head-to-head)

Poll Field Dates Sample Size Sample MOE Trump Biden Spread
University of Houston/Texas Southern University 6/20-7/1/24 1484 LV  2.1% 49% 40% Trump +9
Manhattan Institute 6/25-6/27/2024 600 LV 4.00% 52% 41% Trump +11
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research 6/11-6/20/2024 931 LV 3.80% 48% 43% Trump +5
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research 6/11-6/20/2024 1,144 RV 3.70% 46% 40% Trump +6
UT/Texas Politics Project 5/31-6/9/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 46% 39% Trump +7
UT/Texas Politics Project 4/12-4/22/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 48% 40% Trump +8
Texas Lyceum Poll 4/12-4/21/2024 926 RV 3.22% 41% 31% Trump +10
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation 4/5-4/10/2024 1600 LV 2.45% 46% 34% Trump +12
Marist * 3/18-3/21/2024 1117 RV 3.85% 55% 44% Trump +11
UT Tyler/Center for Opinion Research 2/18-2/26/2024 1167 RV 3.2% 46% 42% Trump +4
UT/Texas Politics Project 2/2-2/12/2024 1200 RV 2.83% 48% 41% Trump + 7
Emerson College 1/13-1/15/2024 1315 RV 2.6% 49% 41% Trump +8
U of Houston / Hobby School 1/11-1/24/2024 1145 RV 2.5% 49% 40% Trump +9
UT/Texas Politics Project 12/1-12/10/2023 1200 RV 2.83% 45% 39% Trump +6
UT/Texas Politics Project 10/5-10/17/2023 1200 RV 2.83% 45% 37% Trump +8

* Result includes force for undecideds

Past Updates

UPDATED October 29, 2024: Added Activote survey.

UPDATED October 28, 2024: Added The New York Times/Siena College survey.

UPDATED October 21, 2024: Added Emerson College/The Hill.

UPDATED October 21, 2024: Added Morning Consult and Activote.

UPDATED October 18 2024: Added UT/Texas Politics Project Poll.

UPDATED October 16 2024: Added Hobby School of Public Affairs Poll.

UPDATED October 14 2024: Added New York Time/Sienna College, Marist, Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research polls.

UPDATED October 8 2024: Added New York Time/Sienna College poll.

UPDATED September 23, 2024: Results from Morning Consult and Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation. (Note: Morning Consult polling has failed to provide detailed methodological information.)

UPDATED September 6, 2024: Results from Morning Consult and Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partner.

UPDATED September 6, 2024:  Results from University of Texas/Texas Politics Project and Emerson College/Nexstar.

UPDATED August 22, 2024: Results from Activote and Clean and Prosperous America PAC/Public Policy Polling.UPDATED August 22, 2024: Results from University of Houston Hobby School / Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan- Mickey Leland School Texas Trends Survey.UPDATED July 9, 2024: Results from University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research and Manhattan Institute polling.

UPDATED 23 May 2024: Results from Texas Lyceum Poll.

UPDATED16 April 2024: Added results from April 5-10 Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation poll.

 

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