|Neither approve nor disapprove||12%|
Should reports of Cruz's approach to the problem prove accurate, it is likely to be in tune with his base of support in Texas – whether it succeeds or not. Cruz's job overall approval numbers in his home state continue to reflect his undisguised attempts to cater to GOP voters, especially the most conservative ones who dominate GOP primaries, as captured in the June 2017 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll.
|Neither approve nor disapprove||9%||15%||13%|
|Neither approve nor disapprove||6%||19%||5%|
|category||The Bible is the word of God, to be taken literally||The Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literally||The Bible is a book written by men|
|Neither approve nor disapprove||15%||12%||6%|
Like everyone else, Cruz must manage cross currents in public opinion, even among his secure base, when it comes to wading into the health care debate. In the June UT/TT poll, the GOP catechism that requires the repeal of Obama care is very much in evidence:
|Don't Repeal it||67%||25%||7%|
The aftermath of "repeal" is more complicated, and underlines two things: The meaning of "repeal" in this context is becoming increasingly obscure – and in some senses, Republicans and Democrats might find things MUCH easier if there was some agreement to just stop using the term Obamacare.
|Repeal the law and replace it with an alternative||63%||77%||65%|
|Repeal the law and don't replace it||35%||20%||30%|
As earlier poll results both nationally and in Texas have illustrated, many of those who reflexively reject Obamacare nonetheless embrace the key results of the ACA, especially guaranteed coverage of those with pre-existing conditions, and the preservation of coverage for at least some of those who were previously uninsured in days before the ACA. In Texas, only 30 percent of registered Republican voters favor repeal without a replacement (per the February 2017 UT/TT Poll). Even a majority of Tea Party identifiers, albeit it a slim one, prefer "repeal and replace" to repealing without a replacement.
Cruz's proposal -- to the extent that it appears to provide "choice," potentially undermines the exchanges created by Obamacare, even as it provides a free-market fig leaf for an eventual increase in those who can't afford insurance -- is likely to achieve at least some of the political ends he seeks. Cruz re-enters the national stage as a conservative part of the Republican majority now in control of all three branches of government after his initial role as chief bomb thrower of the "party of no" conservative anarchists. As a policy move, it seems unlikely to solve the problems that need to be solved within the rubric of the "repeal and replace" approach. As a political move, even should it fall away as another in a long line of failed efforts, it will resonate with conservative voters seeking to somehow untie the Gordian knot that "repeal and replace" has become as Cruz prepares for his 2018 re-election campaign in Texas -- and his next act in 2020.
|Repeal the law and replace it with an alternative||70%||70%||54%|
|Repeal the law and don't replace it||28%||26%||42%|