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August 03, 2020 | By:
Jim Henson
President Donald Trump’s assertion via Twitter that “Universal Mail-In Voting” will make 2020 “the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT ELECTION in history” was certainly well-received in corners of the Texas Republican Party that Trump needs to mobilize to remain competitive in November. He has Republican allies in state government that have succeeded in blocking the expansion of voting by mail in the courts, and voters who support such efforts: In the June 2020 Texas Politics Project poll, 72% of Texas Republicans opposed allowing all Texans to vote by mail in response to the pandemic; only 21% of Texas Republicans favored it, with only 7% on the fence. But skepticism of elections runs much deeper, and predates Trump's presidency.
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March 16, 2018 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
On the Texas side of politics, this week felt like a flashback to last Spring, as the anti-sanctuary city law, the bathroom bill, and the general tone of the 85th Legislature all got rehearings. It’s hard not to feel yet again that there are much bigger goings-on nationally, as students not on spring break staged a national walk-out to protest inaction on gun policy, the Democrats won a squeaker in a Pennsylvania special election, and we discovered what many presupposed, that Special Counsel Mueller has some questions about the Trump business empire and its connections to Russians. Read on for Texas public opinion data linked to some of the big stories from the week in politics.
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November 08, 2016 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
While Republicans still outnumber Democrats in the electorate that we should expect to show up in a presidential election in Texas, going into Election Day, there are signs of a shift toward a historically smaller GOP margin of victory in the contest between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton for the state's electoral votes. The October 2016 University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll also provides some insights into the different levels of unity among Democratic and Republican voters that also portends a better year for Democrats compared to a number of election cycles, though not an outright upset.
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November 03, 2016 | By:
Jim Henson and Joshua Blank
The picture painted by Texans' views of Donald Trump compared to Mitt Romney at this stage in the 2012 campaign clarifies why the presidential race has become much closer than anyone anticipated. The polling data also shed light on the nature of Trump's coalition and suggest that the attitudes sustaining Trump's candidacy in Texas will continue to play a role in GOP politics in Texas, regardless of the future of the candidate himself.
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Likely voters were asked, "Do you think Hillary Clinton has the temperament to serve effectively as president?"
"Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
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Likely voters were asked, "Do you think that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?"
"Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
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Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton."
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Likely voters who indicated that they would be voting for Hillary Clinton were asked, "You said that in a general election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump that you would vote for Hillary Clinton. Which of the following better describes your vote choice:" "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
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Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Hillary Clinton."
"Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
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Likely voters were asked, "Which of the following issues is most important to your vote in the 2016 Election?" "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
