Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice Certainty (February 2020)

Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice Certainty (February 2020)

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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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categoryTotal
Extremely certain51%
Somewhat certain39%
Not very certain7%
Not at all certain2%
Don't know/No opinion1%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Extremely certain51%67%39%
Somewhat certain39%28%55%
Not very certain7%3%3%
Not at all certain2%2%2%
Don't know/No opinion1%0%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Extremely certain51%42%54%
Somewhat certain43%42%35%
Not very certain5%13%7%
Not at all certain1%2%3%
Don't know/No opinion0%1%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Extremely certain50%55%47%
Somewhat certain40%36%42%
Not very certain7%6%6%
Not at all certain2%2%1%
Don't know/No opinion0%1%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Extremely certain30%48%68%
Somewhat certain50%44%28%
Not very certain13%6%4%
Not at all certain7%1%1%
Don't know/No opinion1%0%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Race is calculated according to the race variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Extremely certain48%53%58%
Somewhat certain45%31%32%
Not very certain5%12%7%
Not at all certain2%2%2%
Don't know/No opinion0%3%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryMaleFemale
Extremely certain54%50%
Somewhat certain38%40%
Not very certain5%8%
Not at all certain3%2%
Don't know/No opinion0%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Extremely certain48%55%46%
Somewhat certain37%39%47%
Not very certain9%5%6%
Not at all certain4%1%0%
Don't know/No opinion1%0%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Extremely certain61%46%51%52%
Somewhat certain32%40%43%39%
Not very certain4%9%5%8%
Not at all certain3%4%1%1%
Don't know/No opinion0%1%1%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Extremely certain43%53%59%56%46%46%
Somewhat certain43%34%37%32%43%46%
Not very certain14%8%2%10%9%4%
Not at all certain0%3%1%2%1%4%
Don't know/No opinion0%2%0%0%1%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Extremely certain54%49%46%54%
Somewhat certain38%36%47%38%
Not very certain5%12%4%5%
Not at all certain2%2%3%2%
Don't know/No opinion2%0%0%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "You said you would vote for [INSERT SELECTION FROM Q20A | Q20B], how certain are you about your choice?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Extremely certain51%45%55%63%
Somewhat certain37%43%38%32%
Not very certain7%10%4%2%
Not at all certain4%1%2%2%
Don't know/No opinion1%0%1%1%

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