Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (June 2015)

Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (June 2015)

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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?"
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categorycolumn-1
Hillary Clinton53%
Bernie Sanders15%
Elizabeth Warren8%
Joe Biden8%
Jim Webb1%
Andrew Cuomo1%
Martin O'Malley1%
Lincoln Chafee1%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion12%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Hillary Clinton54%52%40%
Bernie Sanders15%35%0%
Elizabeth Warren8%5%0%
Joe Biden8%0%0%
Jim Webb1%0%17%
Andrew Cuomo1%0%11%
Martin O'Malley1%0%0%
Lincoln Chafee1%0%0%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion11%8%31%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Hillary Clinton33%53%60%
Bernie Sanders29%4%15%
Elizabeth Warren17%6%7%
Joe Biden2%9%9%
Jim Webb2%2%0%
Andrew Cuomo1%2%0%
Martin O'Malley4%2%0%
Lincoln Chafee1%0%1%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion11%21%7%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Hillary Clinton51%60%47%
Bernie Sanders24%10%2%
Elizabeth Warren12%3%7%
Joe Biden4%11%15%
Jim Webb1%1%5%
Andrew Cuomo1%0%1%
Martin O'Malley1%0%4%
Lincoln Chafee0%1%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion7%13%17%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Hillary Clinton45%61%38%
Bernie Sanders15%19%39%
Elizabeth Warren16%6%16%
Joe Biden7%4%1%
Jim Webb2%0%0%
Andrew Cuomo3%1%0%
Martin O'Malley2%1%0%
Lincoln Chafee0%0%0%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion8%7%5%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Hillary Clinton40%57%64%
Bernie Sanders26%9%7%
Elizabeth Warren14%2%5%
Joe Biden3%18%5%
Jim Webb2%1%2%
Andrew Cuomo2%1%0%
Martin O'Malley3%0%0%
Lincoln Chafee0%1%1%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion10%11%16%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Hillary Clinton48%57%
Bernie Sanders19%12%
Elizabeth Warren9%7%
Joe Biden11%6%
Jim Webb2%1%
Andrew Cuomo1%1%
Martin O'Malley2%1%
Lincoln Chafee1%0%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion8%15%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Community is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Hillary Clinton54%54%45%
Bernie Sanders11%18%17%
Elizabeth Warren11%6%6%
Joe Biden7%8%7%
Jim Webb4%0%0%
Andrew Cuomo1%1%1%
Martin O'Malley1%1%3%
Lincoln Chafee1%0%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion10%11%18%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Hillary Clinton44%51%56%60%
Bernie Sanders22%11%17%10%
Elizabeth Warren2%12%10%5%
Joe Biden11%6%9%4%
Jim Webb2%3%1%1%
Andrew Cuomo1%1%0%2%
Martin O'Malley0%2%0%3%
Lincoln Chafee2%1%0%0%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion16%12%8%14%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Hillary Clinton69%59%55%53%40%51%
Bernie Sanders9%10%16%19%21%18%
Elizabeth Warren5%2%5%8%16%22%
Joe Biden8%10%9%7%5%4%
Jim Webb0%1%1%3%3%3%
Andrew Cuomo0%1%1%0%2%0%
Martin O'Malley0%0%2%1%1%3%
Lincoln Chafee0%0%1%0%3%0%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion9%17%11%9%10%0%

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