Would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh? (October 2018)

Would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh? (October 2018)

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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"

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categoryTotal
Yes, would have voted to confirm54%
No, would not have voted to confirm46%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Yes, would have voted to confirm14%41%92%
No, would not have voted to confirm86%59%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Yes, would have voted to confirm7%14%17%
No, would not have voted to confirm93%86%83%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Yes, would have voted to confirm90%79%97%
No, would not have voted to confirm10%21%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Yes, would have voted to confirm10%33%88%
No, would not have voted to confirm90%67%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Yes, would have voted to confirm16%5%11%
No, would not have voted to confirm84%95%89%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Yes, would have voted to confirm78%87%92%
No, would not have voted to confirm22%13%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Yes, would have voted to confirm14%91%89%
No, would not have voted to confirm86%9%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Yes, would have voted to confirm65%27%40%
No, would not have voted to confirm35%73%60%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Yes, would have voted to confirm58%50%
No, would not have voted to confirm42%50%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Yes, would have voted to confirm42%56%66%
No, would not have voted to confirm58%44%34%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Yes, would have voted to confirm41%46%58%66%
No, would not have voted to confirm59%54%42%34%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?"
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Yes, would have voted to confirm49%53%51%52%60%50%
No, would not have voted to confirm51%47%49%48%40%50%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Yes, would have voted to confirm66%53%41%32%
No, would not have voted to confirm34%47%59%68%
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    Respondents were asked, "Based on what you know, if you were a U.S. Senator, would you have voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, or not?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Yes, would have voted to confirm74%57%27%
No, would not have voted to confirm26%43%73%

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