The Texas Tribune Festival runs this weekend right here at The University of Texas at Austin, with a bunch of panels featuring a bunch of people talking about a bunch of political things. You can get a snoutful of particulars directly from the Tribune’s promotion machine. While we’re sure all the moderators have been appropriately briefed, we’ve annotated some of the panels with relevant polling results from Texas. Have fun at the fest (or watching it online).
Tracks (Click on the track to jump to relevant data):
- Keynote North
- Keynote South
- 2016
- Diversity & The Law
- Energy & The Environment
- Health & Human Services
- Public & Higher Education
- The 85th Legislature
- The Texas Tribune Presents
- Transportation & The Economy
The State of Black America: SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ Hogg Memorial Auditorium
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muslims | 25% | 13% | 23% |
| Christians | 28% | 4% | 12% |
| African Americans | 6% | 52% | 15% |
| Transgender people | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Gays and lesbians | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Whites | 12% | 2% | 4% |
| Hispanics | 2% | 1% | 20% |
| Women | 2% | 4% | 6% |
| Men | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Asians | 0% | 0% | 0% |
One on One with Ted Cruz: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ Hogg Memorial Auditorium
Favorable Unfavorable Neither/Don't Know May 2012 23% 19% 58% October 2012 37% 26% 37% February 2013 39% 28% 33% June 2013 40% 31% 30% October 2013 38% 37% 24% February 2014 43% 37% 20% June 2014 46% 34% 21% October 2014 44% 36% 19% February 2015 41% 36% 22% June 2015 40% 37% 23% November 2015 41% 38% 20% February 2016 36% 48% 18% June 2016 31% 48% 21% October 2016 32% 49% 19% June 2017 37% 45% 18% October 2017 38% 45% 17% February 2018 40% 42% 18% June 2018 41% 42% 17% October 2018 47% 42% 12% June 2023 44% 43% 12%
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Approve strongly | 18% |
| Approve somewhat | 17% |
| Neither approve nor disapprove | 13% |
| Disapprove somewhat | 12% |
| Disapprove strongly | 31% |
| Don't know | 9% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very favorable | 16% |
| Somewhat favorable | 15% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 13% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 15% |
| Very unfavorable | 32% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 7% |
Is Texas Good for Women?: SATURDAY | 11:10 AM @ AT&T Conference Center, Ballroom
| category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| A lot of discrimination | 11% | 20% |
| Some | 38% | 47% |
| Not very much | 35% | 23% |
| None at all | 13% | 7% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 3% | 3% |
What's the Matter with Congress?: SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Ballroom
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Approve strongly | 2% |
| Approve somewhat | 8% |
| Neither approve nor disapprove | 16% |
| Disapprove somewhat | 24% |
| Disapprove strongly | 45% |
| Don't know | 5% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Their congressional district | 30% |
| Their state | 15% |
| The country as a whole | 47% |
| Don't know / No opinion | 8% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| The beliefs of constituents like you | 64% |
| The personal beliefs of the representative | 12% |
| The positions of the political party to which they belong | 10% |
| Don't know / No opinion | 15% |
The LGBTQ Agenda: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Ballroom
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gays and lesbians should have the right to marry | 65% | 46% | 24% |
| Gays and lesbians should not have the right to marry | 26% | 35% | 59% |
| Don't know | 9% | 19% | 17% |
One on One with Gary Johnson: SATURDAY | 8:30 AM @ Texas Union Theater
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| The Republican Donald Trump | 39% |
| The Democrat Hillary Clinton | 32% |
| The Libertarian Gary Johnson | 7% |
| Someone else | 14% |
| Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion | 8% |
Latinos and the Presidential Race: SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ Texas Union Theater
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 54% | 6% | 24% |
| Hillary Clinton | 20% | 69% | 47% |
| Someone else | 20% | 17% | 16% |
| Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion | 6% | 8% | 13% |
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great president | 16% | 4% | 7% |
| Good president | 23% | 3% | 12% |
| Average president | 17% | 11% | 12% |
| Poor president | 12% | 17% | 8% |
| Terrible president | 33% | 66% | 60% |
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great president | 7% | 26% | 16% |
| Good president | 11% | 31% | 19% |
| Average president | 10% | 25% | 29% |
| Poor president | 13% | 7% | 7% |
| Terrible president | 60% | 11% | 29% |
The Trumping of the Republican Primary: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ Texas Union Theater
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very favorable | 4% | 18% | 26% |
| Somewhat favorable | 3% | 12% | 27% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 5% | 16% | 13% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 5% | 10% | 14% |
| Very unfavorable | 80% | 41% | 18% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very favorable | 8% | 26% | 31% |
| Somewhat favorable | 22% | 30% | 29% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 12% | 11% | 14% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 21% | 15% | 11% |
| Very unfavorable | 38% | 17% | 14% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| category | Democrat | Republican | Tea Party |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very favorable | 3% | 38% | 17% |
| Somewhat favorable | 2% | 25% | 34% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 4% | 14% | 13% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 5% | 10% | 16% |
| Very unfavorable | 85% | 12% | 19% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| category | Among Donald Trump Supporters |
|---|---|
| Improve the American economy | 27% |
| Give the Republican Party a good chance to win in November | 13% |
| Shake up politics-as-usual | 18% |
| Reform immigration policy | 20% |
| Fight terrorism | 9% |
| Defend my faith and religious values | 3% |
| Improve America's standing in the world | 5% |
| Work to guarantee equal rights for all groups in society | 2% |
| Address economic inequality in the country | 3% |
| category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| I want Donald Trump to be elected president | 28% | 43% | 45% |
| I don't want Hillary Clinton to be elected president | 72% | 57% | 55% |
A National Security Agenda for the 45th President: SATURDAY | 4:25 PM @ Texas Union Theater
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Unfriendly foreign nations | 7% |
| Foreign terrorist groups | 25% |
| Illegal immigration | 17% |
| Decaying American infrastructure | 9% |
| Polarization/Intractable partisan conflict | 13% |
| Climate change | 5% |
| Computer network vulnerabilities | 2% |
| Racial tensions | 6% |
| Gun violence/Mass shootings | 8% |
| Other | 4% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 6% |
Race and Law Enforcement: SATURDAY | 8:30 AM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
The September 2016 Texas Lyceum Poll found that 51 percent of black, adult Texans can recall a specific instance in which they have felt discriminated against by the police, compared to 23 percent of Hispanic, and only 6 percent of white, adult Texans.
Immigration and the Cities: SATURDAY | 9:50 AM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Approve of sanctuary cities | 21% |
| Disapprove of sanctuary cities | 59% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 21% |
Is the Death Penalty Working?: SATURDAY | 11:10 AM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Strongly support | 49% |
| Somewhat support | 26% |
| Somewhat oppose | 10% |
| Strongly oppose | 9% |
| Don't know | 6% |
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strongly support | 52% | 32% | 48% |
| Somewhat support | 25% | 26% | 32% |
| Somewhat oppose | 10% | 15% | 6% |
| Strongly oppose | 8% | 16% | 8% |
| Don't know | 5% | 11% | 7% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Never | 3% |
| Almost never | 29% |
| Occasionally | 47% |
| A great deal of the time | 12% |
| Don't know | 9% |
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Never | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| Almost never | 35% | 14% | 21% |
| Occasionally | 47% | 46% | 49% |
| A great deal of the time | 8% | 30% | 15% |
| Don't know | 7% | 9% | 12% |
Texas vs. the Feds: SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
Supreme Court Confidential: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| The U.S. Congress, the legislative branch | 6% | 9% | 30% |
| The President, the executive branch | 41% | 8% | 1% |
| The U.S. Supreme Court, the judicial branch | 23% | 34% | 23% |
| Don't know | 30% | 49% | 45% |
Voting Rights and Wrongs: SATURDAY | 4:25 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Amphitheater 204
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very favorable | 51% |
| Somewhat favorable | 15% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 9% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 6% |
| Very unfavorable | 16% |
| Don't know / No Opinion | 3% |
Energy Prices and the Economy: SATURDAY | 8:30 AM @ Calhoun Hall, Classroom 100
category Leaning conservative Somewhat conservative Extremely conservative Yes, welcomed 28% 16% 14% No, not welcomed 48% 54% 60% Don't know/No opinion 24% 30% 27%
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very concerned | 24% |
| Somewhat concerned | 39% |
| Not very concerned | 23% |
| Not at all concerned | 9% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 6% |
Why Are We Fighting About Vaccines?: SATURDAY | 9:50 AM @ Texas Union, Santa Rita Room
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Should | 75% |
| Should not | 14% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 11% |
The Battle Over Bathrooms: SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ Texas Union, Santa Rita Room
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very concerned | 32% |
| Somewhat concerned | 21% |
| Not very concerned | 15% |
| Not at all concerned | 28% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 5% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Their birth gender. | 52% |
| Their gender identity. | 29% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 19% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Their birth gender. | 56% |
| Their gender identity. | 27% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 18% |
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| The federal government | 25% |
| State governments | 21% |
| Local school districts | 34% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 20% |
Obamacare After Obama: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ Texas Union, Santa Rita Room
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very favorable | 34% | 6% | 3% |
| Somewhat favorable | 33% | 15% | 3% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 13% | 13% | 6% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Very unfavorable | 11% | 52% | 82% |
| Don't know / No Opinion | 3% | 7% | 0% |
Grading the STAAR Test: SATURDAY | 8:30 AM @ Flawn Academic Center, Auditorium 21
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Extremely effective | 33% |
| Somewhat effective | 30% |
| Not very effective | 17% |
| Not at all effective | 11% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 9% |
Best Practices from the Best Charters: SATURDAY | 9:50 AM @ Flawn Academic Center, Auditorium 21
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Extremely effective | 18% | 14% | 22% |
| Somewhat effective | 24% | 38% | 36% |
| Not very effective | 23% | 14% | 23% |
| Not at all effective | 20% | 14% | 8% |
| Don't know | 15% | 20% | 11% |
Lessons from Urban Public Ed: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ Flawn Academic Center, Auditorium 21
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very favorable | 9% |
| Somewhat favorable | 29% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 20% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 24% |
| Very unfavorable | 15% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 2% |
Campus Carry is the Law. Now What?: SATURDAY | 4:25 PMFlawn Academic Center, Auditorium 21
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strongly support | 8% | 13% | 35% |
| Somewhat support | 15% | 20% | 34% |
| Somewhat oppose | 13% | 22% | 12% |
| Strongly oppose | 57% | 29% | 13% |
| Don't know | 7% | 16% | 7% |
One on One with Dan Patrick: SATURDAY | 8:30 AM @ Rainey Hall, Jessen Auditorium
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Approve strongly | 12% |
| Approve somewhat | 19% |
| Neither approve nor disapprove | 24% |
| Disapprove somewhat | 8% |
| Disapprove strongly | 22% |
| Don't know | 15% |
The Price of Admission: Higher Ed for a Diverse Texas: SATURDAY | 9:50 AM @ Texas Union, Quadrangle Room
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39% | 68% | 69% |
| No | 46% | 24% | 21% |
| Don't know / no opinion | 15% | 7% | 10% |
Bordering on Insecurity: How Safe are We, Really?: SATURDAY | 11:10 AM @ Texas Union, Quadrangle Room
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strongly agree | 12% | 31% | 40% |
| Somewhat agree | 13% | 25% | 32% |
| Somewhat disagree | 20% | 17% | 15% |
| Strongly disagree | 47% | 20% | 9% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strongly support | 10% | 41% | 54% |
| Somewhat support | 11% | 18% | 22% |
| Somewhat oppose | 9% | 3% | 9% |
| Strongly oppose | 64% | 27% | 8% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 7% | 11% | 7% |
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strongly support | 13% | 31% | 48% |
| Somewhat support | 13% | 21% | 28% |
| Somewhat oppose | 23% | 15% | 10% |
| Strongly oppose | 44% | 19% | 6% |
| Don't know | 8% | 14% | 8% |
The Politics of Prevention: The Abortion Battle, Cont’d: ​SATURDAY | 1:45 PM @ Texas Union, Quadrangle Room
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pro-life | 19% | 32% | 66% |
| Pro-choice | 63% | 40% | 23% |
| Neither | 10% | 25% | 8% |
| Don't know | 8% | 3% | 3% |
God & Governing: Should Faith Inform Politics?: SATURDAY | 4:25 PM @ Texas Union, Quadrangle Room
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Too much | 27% |
| Too little | 35% |
| Right amount | 19% |
| Don't know / No opinion | 18% |
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Too much | 47% | 29% | 9% |
| Too little | 24% | 24% | 49% |
| Right amount | 15% | 21% | 23% |
| Don't know / No opinion | 14% | 25% | 19% |
The Best Budget for Texas: SATURDAY | 11:10 AM @ AT&T Conference Center, Classroom 203
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase K-12 funding | 22% | 10% | 9% |
| School voucher program | 3% | 4% | 7% |
| Limit government - no new spending/taxes | 8% | 24% | 25% |
| Lower property taxes | 13% | 6% | 14% |
| Lower business taxes | 1% | 3% | 5% |
| Funding for transportation | 6% | 7% | 4% |
| Continue border security funding | 9% | 17% | 27% |
| Expand state-funded, pre-k | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Expand Medicaid funding under ACA | 29% | 12% | 4% |
Taking Care of Our Veterans: SATURDAY | 3:05 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Classroom 203
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Very favorable | 51% |
| Somewhat favorable | 27% |
| Neither favorable nor unfavorable | 13% |
| Somewhat unfavorable | 4% |
| Very unfavorable | 3% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 2% |
A Plan for Congestion: SATURDAY | 4:25 PM @ AT&T Conference Center, Classroom 203
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Extremely serious | 27% |
| Somewhat serious | 46% |
| Not so serious | 19% |
| Not serious problem at all | 5% |
| Don't know/no opinion | 4% |
| category | column-2 |
|---|---|
| People wanting to live or work here | 71% |
| Economic growth | 68% |
| Insufficient spending on the maintenance of existing roads | 54% |
| Insufficient spending on new roads | 48% |
| Insufficient spending on public transportation | 42% |