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Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following potential Democratic candidates for President: Bernie Sanders"
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March 02, 2020 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
Sanders' success in Texas is an expression of a real change that, given the very demographics Democrats have been anticipating for years, will continue to shape the party’s electoral fortunes.
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March 02, 2020 | By:
Jim Henson and Joshua Blank
Democratic voters’ focus on health care keeps that issue at center stage in the presidential primary, with the spotlight shining most brightly on the politics of “Medicare for All” — the 2020 shorthand for universal government-provided health insurance.
National polling almost universally shows that Democrats rank health care as one of the most important election issues (as U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently reminded anyone who would listen), and that they overwhelmingly favor of providing the universal coverage promised by Medicare for everyone.
Yet public opinion polling in Texas reveals significant disagreement about the details of delivery, particularly whether government-provided health insurance should entirely replace existing private insurance, including plans provided in full or in part by employers.
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February 17, 2020 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
The February 2020 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll caught Bernie Sanders’ apparent rise and troubling times for Joe Biden in the 2020 Democratic presidential nominating contest, even as the race changes on a seemingly day-to-day basis heading into the end of the beginning of the delegate-earning phase of the contest. While the flow of the Democratic race remains rapid and unpredictable, Texans’ views of Congress are still, deep, and fetid. The impact of the impeachment process and its outcome were similarly settled, especially along partisan lines, though the attitudes of independents could potentially produce tricky undercurrents for incumbents. Donald Trump is getting some credit in Texas for a good economy even as his other job approval ratings remain deeply divided. Beneath all the Democratic presidential shifting and Trumpian chaos, the Democrats attempting to earn the right to challenge John Cornyn continued to struggle for attention -- good news for the incumbent. Find more on these points below.
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Bernie Sanders”] Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
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November 04, 2019 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
In an alternate universe envisioned by Beto O’Rourke’s fan base about a year ago, this weekend might have witnessed his breakout performance at the Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty and Justice Dinner on Friday, followed by the release of a University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll showing him leading the Democratic presidential primary field in his home state, poised to make a strong showing in Iowa and turn Texas blue while on the way to changing the Electoral College map for 2020 and beyond as he rid the country of Donald Trump and swept into the White House.
The real world looks a little different today.
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?"
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump, who would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
