October 26, 2018
This post will be updated regularly to reflect the release of new public polls. If we're missing a public poll, email us. For Ross Ramsey's write up of the trial ballot results from the October 2018 UT/Texas Tribune Poll, see his piece in The Texas Tribune.
Most recent update: 11/2/18
| Poll | Date | Sample | MOE | Cruz (R) | O'Rourke (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson | 10/28 - 10/30 | 781 LV | +/- 3.7% | 50 | 47 | Cruz +3 |
| UT Tyler | 10/15 - 10/28 | 905 LV | +/- 3.26% | 47 | 43 | Cruz +4 |
| CBS 11/Dixie Strategies | 10/25 - 10/26 | 588 LV | +/- 4.0% | 52 | 42 | Cruz +10 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/22 - 10/28 | 1078 LV | +/- 3.5% | 51 | 46 | Cruz +5 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 10/15 - 10/21 | 927 LV | +/- 3.22% | 51 | 45 | Cruz +6 |
| Reuters/Ipsos/UVA | 10/12-10/18 | 1298 LV | +/- 3.1% | 49 | 44 | Cruz +5 |
| CNN | 10/9 - 10/13 | 716 LV | +/- 4.5% | 52 | 45 | Cruz + 7 |
| NYT Upshot/Siena | 10/1 - 10/11 | 800 LV | +/- 3/6% | 51 | 43 | Cruz +8 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/3-10/9 | 730 LV | +/- 4.4% | 54 | 45 | Cruz +9 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 10/2 - 10/5 | 470 LV | +/- 4.5% | 50 | 44 | Cruz +6 |
| Emerson | 10/1 - 10/5 | 500 LV | +/- 4.5%* | 47 | 42 | Cruz +5 |
| PPP | 9/19 - 9/20 | 603 RV | +/- 4.0% | 49 | 46 | Cruz +3 |
| PPP | 9/19 - 9/20 | 613 RV | +/- 4.0% | 48 | 45 | Cruz +3 |
| Reuters/Ipsos/UVA | 9/6 - 9/14 | 992 LV | +/- 4.0%* | 45 | 47 | O'Rourke +2 |
| Quinnipiac | 9/11 - 9/17 | 807 LV | +/- 4.1% | 54 | 45 | Cruz +9 |
| Dixie Strategies | 9/6 - 9/7 | 519 LV | +/- 4.3% | 46 | 42 | Cruz +4 |
| Crosswind | 9/6 - 9/9 | 800 LV | +/- 4.0% | 47 | 44 | Cruz +3 |
| Emerson | 8/22 - 8/25 | 550 RV | +/- 4.4% | 39 | 38 | Cruz +1 |
| NBC News/Marist | 8/12 - 8/16 | 759 RV | +/- 3.8% | 49 | 45 | Cruz +4 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/26 - 7/31 | 1138 RV | +/- 3.5% | 49 | 43 | Cruz +6 |
| Texas Lyceum | 7/9 - 7/26 | 441 LV | +/- 4.7% | 41 | 39 | Cruz +2 |
| Gravis | 7/3 - 7/7 | 602 LV | +/- 4.0% | 51 | 42 | Cruz +9 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 6/19 - 6/22 | 821 LV | NA | 50 | 40 | Cruz +10 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 6/8 - 6/17 | 1200 RV | +/- 2.8% | 41 | 36 | Cruz +5 |
| Quinnipiac | 5/23 - 5/29 | 961 RV | +/- 3.8% | 50 | 39 | Cruz +11 |
| JMC Analytics | 5/19 - 5/21 | 575 LV | +/- 4.1% | 47 | 40 | Cruz +7 |
| Quinnipiac | 4/12 - 4/17 | 1029 RV | +/- 3.6% | 47 | 44 | Cruz +3 |
| Poll | Date | Sample | MOE | Abbott (R) | Valdez (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson | 10/28 - 10/30 | 781 LV | +/- 3.7% | 51 | 43 | Abbott +8 |
| UT Tyler | 10/15 - 10/28 | 1033 AD | +/- 3.0% | 53 | 32 | Abbott +21 |
| CBS 11/Dixie Strategies | 10/25 - 10/26 | 588 LV | +/- 4.0% | 59 | 33 | Abbott +26 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/22 - 10/28 | 1078 LV | +/- 3.5% | 54 | 40 | Abbott +14 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 10/15 - 10/21 | 927 LV | +/- 3.22% | 56 | 37 | Abbott +19 |
| Reuters/Ipsos/UVA | 10/12-10/18 | 1298 LV | +/- 3.1% | 53 | 38 | Abbott +15 |
| CNN | 10/9 - 10/13 | 716 LV | +/- 4.5% | 57 | 39 | Abbott +18 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/3-10/9 | 730 LV | +/- 4.4% | 58 | 38 | Abbott +20 |
| Emerson | 10/1 - 10/5 | 500 LV | +/- 4.5%* | 53 | 33 | Abbott +20 |
| Reuters/Ipsos/UVA | 9/6 - 9/14 | 992 LV | +/- 4.0%* | 50 | 41 | Abbott +9 |
| Quinnipiac | 9/11 - 9/17 | 807 LV | +/- 4.1% | 58 | 39 | Abbott +19 |
| Dixie Strategies | 9/6 - 9/7 | 519 LV | +/- 4.3% | 53 | 34 | Abbott +9 |
| Crosswind | 9/6 - 9/9 | 800 LV | +/- 4.0% | 52 | 39 | Abbott +13 |
| Emerson | 8/22 - 8/25 | 550 RV | +/- 4.4% | 48 | 28 | Abbott +20 |
| NBC News/Marist | 8/12 - 8/16 | 759 RV | +/- 3.8% | 56 | 37 | Abbott +19 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/26 - 7/31 | 1138 RV | +/- 3.5% | 51 | 38 | Abbott +13 |
| Texas Lyceum | 7/9 - 7/26 | 441 LV | +/- 4.7% | 47 | 31 | Abbott +16 |
| Gravis | 7/3 - 7/7 | 602 LV | +/- 4.0% | 51 | 41 | Abbott +10 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 6/8 - 6/17 | 1200 RV | +/- 2.8% | 44 | 32 | Abbott +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 5/23 - 5/29 | 961 RV | +/- 3.8% | 53 | 34 | Abbott +19 |
| JMC Analytics | 5/19 - 5/21 | 575 LV | +/- 4.1% | 48 | 36 | Abbott +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 4/12 - 4/17 | 1029 RV | +/- 3.6% | 49 | 40 | Abbott +9 |
| Poll | Date | Sample | MOE | Patrick (R) | Collier (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler | 10/15 - 10/28 | 1033 AD | +/- 3.0% | 45 | 32 | Patrick +13 |
| CBS 11/Dixie Strategies | 10/25 - 10/26 | 588 LV | +/- 4.0% | 51 | 40 | Patrick +11 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 10/15-10/21 | 927 LV | +/-3.22% | 53 | 35 | Patrick +18 |
| Dixie Strategies | 9/6 - 9/7 | 519 LV | +/- 4.3% | 45 | 39 | Patrick +6 |
| Texas Lyceum | 7/9 - 7/26 | 441 LV | +/- 4.7% | 39 | 29 | Patrick +10 |
| Gravis | 7/3 - 7/7 | 602 LV | +/- 4.0% | 46 | 44 | Patrick +2 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 6/8 - 6/17 | 1200 RV | +/- 2.8% | 37 | 31 | Patrick +6 |
| Poll | Date | Sample | MOE | Paxton (R) | Nelson (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS 11/ Dixie Strategies | 10/25 - 10/26 | 588 LV | +/- 4.0% | 50 | 41 | Paxton +9 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 10/15-10/21 | 927 LV | +/- 3.22% | 48 | 36 | Paxton +12 |
| Dixie Strategies | 9/6 - 9/7 | 519 LV | +/- 4.3% | 45 | 39 | Paxton +6 |
| Texas Lyceum | 7/9 - 7/26 | 441 LV | +/- 4.7% | 35 | 25 | Paxton +10 |
| Gravis | 7/3 - 7/7 | 602 LV | +/- 4.0% | 45 | 41 | Paxton +4 |
| UT/Texas Tribune | 6/8 - 6/17 | 1200 RV | +/- 2.8% | 32 | 31 | Paxton +1 |