Texas 2026 U.S. Senate Poll Tracker
Updated August 5, 2026: First compilation of public polling in the U.S. Senate election for the seat currently occupied by John Cornyn. Check back for updates as new statewide polling is released.
Texas 2026 U.S. Senate Election Polling
| Poll | Field Dates | Sample Size | Sample Type | MOE | Paxton | Talarico | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSU/YouGov | 7/27 - 7/30 | 1200 | LV | +/-2.8% | 45 | 47 | Talarico +2 |
| FOX News | 7/23 - 7/27 | 1006 | RV | +/-3.0% | 48 | 51 | Talarico +3 |
| NY Times/Siena | 6/19 - 6/27 | 656 | LV | +/-4.5% | 47 | 47 | Even |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | 6/5 - 6/12 | 1200 | RV | +/-2.8% | 43 | 42 | Paxton +1 |
| Quantus Insights | 6/3 - 6/4 | 800 | LV | +/-3.5% | 45 | 43 | Paxton +2 |
| Texas A&M/Siena | 6/1 - 6/4 | 807 | LV | +/-4.0% | 46 | 46 | Even |