2018 Election

• Looking Back on Beto O'Rourke's Favorability Ratings in His Home State

  March 13, 2019 | By: Jim Henson

  As the political press awaits Beto O’Rourke’s announcement that he’s ready to “push the button” on a campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination, we’ve gathered a set of results from the University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll that chart his rise in his home state.  All of this put him in a strong position to challenge John Cornyn in 2020, but he has apparently chosen ostensibly bigger and better things at the national level. 

• October 2018 UT/Texas Tribune Poll Election Takeaways

  October 30, 2018 | By: Jim Henson, Joshua Blank

  The trial ballot in the contest between Ted Cruz and Beto O'Rourke, which found the incumbent senator leading the El Paso congressman 51 to 46 percent, provided the marquee result from the October University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Ross Ramsey did his usual, able job rolling out the results from the trial ballots; below, find a few related observations. 

• Trump's Immigration Push Plays to Base in Lead up to Midterm Elections

  October 30, 2018 | By: Joshua Blank, Jim Henson

  A week before the midterm elections, President Donald Trump has thrown kerosene on the immigration and border security fires already demonstrably raging within the Republican Pary by loudly promoting two measures aimed squarely at GOP voters focused on immigration and border security. First, the president has called up 5,200 active duty military personnel to converge on the Texas border in anticipation of a caravan of migrants from Honduras. Second, in an Axios / HBO interview to air this weekend, it was revealed that the president is considering repealing birthright citizenship as guaranteed in the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution through executive order.

• 2018 Election Polling in Texas - October 2018 UT/Texas Tribune Poll Version

  October 26, 2018 | By: Jim Henson, Joshua Blank

  This post will be updated regularly to reflect the release of new public polls.

  Most recent update: 11/2/18

• U.S. Senate Trial Ballot (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 general election for U.S. Senator from Texas was held today, would you vote for the Republican Ted Cruz, the Democrat Beto O’Rourke, the Libertarian Neal Dikeman, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" If they initially answered that they didn’t know, they were then asked a follow-up question: "If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?" Responses to the follow-up questions were folded into the results found below.

• Gubernatorial Trial Ballot (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, would you vote for the Republican Greg Abbott, the Democrat Lupe Valdez, the Libertarian Mark Tippetts, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" If they initially answered that they didn’t know, they were then asked a follow-up question: "If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?" Responses to the follow-up questions were folded into the results found below.

• Lieutenant Governor Trial Ballot (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, ""

• Attorney General Trial Ballot (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, ""

• U.S. Congress Trial Ballot (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, ""

• Vote Frequency (October 2018)

  Respondents were asked, "There are many elections in the state of Texas. Furthermore, many people intend to vote in a given election, but sometimes personal and professional circumstances keep them from the polls. Thinking back over the past two or three years, would you say that you voted in all elections, almost all, about half, one or two, or none at all?"