Elizabeth Warren
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Elizabeth Warren Favorability (February 2020)
Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of each of the following potential Democratic candidates for President: Elizabeth Warren" -
Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (February 2020)
Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Democratic Presidential Primary Second Choice (February 2020)
Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Presidential Trial Ballot: Trump vs. Warren (February 2020)
Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" -
From Bang to Whimper: Beto O’Rourke’s Exit and The Specter of What Might Have Been
| By: Jim Henson, Joshua BlankIn an alternate universe envisioned by Beto O’Rourke’s fan base about a year ago, this weekend might have witnessed his breakout performance at the Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty and Justice Dinner on Friday, followed by the release of a University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll showing him leading the Democratic presidential primary field in his home state, poised to make a strong showing in Iowa and turn Texas blue while on the way to changing the Electoral College map for 2020 and beyond as he rid the country of Donald Trump and swept into the White House.
The real world looks a little different today.
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Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (October 2019)
Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?"
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Presidential Trial Ballot, Trump vs. Warren (October 2019)
Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Elizabeth Warren and Donald Trump, who would you vote for, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
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Second Choice Among Elizabeth Warren Supporters (September 2019)
Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
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Vote Certainty Among Elizabeth Warren Supporters (September 2019)
Respondents were asked, "How likely are you to change your mind before the primary election?"
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Biden is Second Choice Among Clinton Supporters in Texas - But Still a Long Shot
| By: James Henson, PhD, Joshua Blank, PhDIf Biden's rationale for entering the primary is to win the nomination, his only real chance (without guarantee of success) is for one of the most durable political figures of the last two-plus decades of American politics to be forced out of the race by circumstances. This is closer to the presidency than virtually anyone in America ever gets – but far from a sure thing for Biden.