Resources for the 2022 Texas primaries and the State of the Union Address
We've compiled a brief list of Texas Politics Project resources for those who, out of vocation or avocation, will be keeping an eye on the 2022 Texas primary elections and President Joe Biden's State of the Union address. There are of course a ton of shared crib sheets and Twitter accounts to follow out there, but we’ll let you sort that out per your preferences. However, if you have sources you think are particularly good and might be flying under the radar, by all means, send them along.
Texas primary resources
Historical turnout in Texas. This graphic provides the big picture of Texas' historically anemic turnout across recent decades. At the linked page, you can click on the lines for particular elections to toggle them on and off. Move your cursor over the line to see specific data points.
Characteristics of different subsets of the electorate. A compilation of data based on polling and other sources that look at the ways in which the Republican and Democratic Primary electorates (as represented in samples of registered voters with histories of voting in these primaries and intentions to vote again in 2022) compare to the overall Republican and Democratic electorates, respectively, as of February 2022.
| Ideology | Registered Voters | Republican Party Voters | Republican Primary Voters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moderate | 28% | 12% | 8% |
| Lean conservative | 11% | 19% | 9% |
| Somewhat conservative | 18% | 35% | 40% |
| Extremely conservative | 16% | 31% | 41% |
| Ideology | Registered Voters | Democratic Party Voters | Democratic Primary Voters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moderate | 28% | 31% | 19% |
| Lean liberal | 8% | 15% | 16% |
| Somewhat liberal | 11% | 25% | 34% |
| Extremely liberal | 9% | 20% | 29% |
Sorting out the intraparty differences highlighed in primary elections. One of our recurring poll questions asked partisans to rate the ideological posture of their party's elected officials. In a primary season where Republican incumbents are being pressed by activists and interest groups to prove their conservative commitments, and Democratic candidates are pressing each other to demonstrate their progressive commitments, this overall assessment provides a heat check on partisans' ideological mood.
Pre- and post-redistricting Trump vote shares in Texas House, Senate, and Congressional districts. These posts features tables that show the percentage vote share for Donald Trump and Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election in Texas' House, Senate and Congressional districts, before and after redistricting.
Trends in job approvals of Texas political leaders and Texas assessments of the economy and the path of the US and Texas. A compilation of trend data in the Texas Politics Project archive over the last decade and a half of polling.
Track public polling on expected 2022 Texas gubernatorial race. Our poll tracker contains results from public polling in the expected Abbott-O'Rourke race.
State of the Union resources
Texas approval of Joe Biden’s job performance and conditions in the U.S. A compilation of recent data including trends in Texas voters' evaluations of President Joe Biden's overall job performance as well as approval ratings on specific issue areas from the recent February 2022 UT/Texas Politics Project Poll.
With the war in Ukraine at center stage, Texas public opinion data on the intertwined attitudes toward Russia, Vladimir Putin, and Donald Trump. Texas polling data illustrates the attitudinal cross pressures, especially among Republican voters, likely to shape Republican responses to the Russian invasion and the Biden administrations' handling of it.
Pandemic attitudes in Texas. The COVID-19 pandemic has been a defining crisis of the Biden presidency, and an update on his administration’s response and plans going forward will certainly get some real estate in the SOTU. We’ve been tracking trends in overall and partisan attitudes toward the pandemic and pandemic policy in a post recently updated with data from the February 2022 UT/Texas Politics Project Poll.