Respondents were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor or terrible president."
Respondents who indicated that they would vote in or have already voted in the Republican primary were asked, "What's most important: picking the candidate best prepared to..." "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3.
Respondents who indicated that they would be voting for a candidate in the primary elections were asked, "You said that you would vote for [INSERT RESPONSE FROM Q15A, Q15C, Q16A, Q16AC], how certain are you about this choice?"
Respondents who indicated that they would vote in or have already voted in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Response options were randomized. Respondents were first asked the question above. If they initially answered that they didn't know, they were then asked a follow-up question: "If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?" Responses to the follow-up questions were folded into the results found below. "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3.
November 17, 2015 | By:
James Henson, PhD,
Joshua Blank, PhD
The prominent role of a Syrian who was likely never really a refugee, but masqueraded as one to reach Paris in order to play his terrible role there, has created the rhetorical space for a new variation on the immigration and border security trope that appeals to a broad section of Republican voters. The Paris attacks will clearly make national security and counter-terrorism more salient for now – and there was a significant portion of the GOP that saw terrorism as salient before the attack. But the quick incorporation of immigration as a central component of the national GOP response to Paris makes it unlikely that counter-terrorism will gain enough intensity to dislodge immigration in the gut reactions of GOP primary voters. The speed with which this incorporation has occurred suggests that, in fact, it may reinforce these reactions – and their impact on the GOP presidential race.
Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "Are there any of these candidates for the Republican nomination for president whom you would definitely not support?"
Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today,which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Response options were randomized.
Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Response options were randomized.
Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" After indicating their first choice, respondents were asked, “Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?”
Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?"
