Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (December 2022)

Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (December 2022)

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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?"
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categoryTotal
Very accurate33%
Somewhat accurate27%
Somewhat inaccurate19%
Very inaccurate15%
Don't know/No opinion5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Very accurate66%29%6%
Somewhat accurate20%28%32%
Somewhat inaccurate8%14%33%
Very inaccurate2%20%26%
Don't know/No opinion3%10%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Very accurate72%44%76%
Somewhat accurate13%29%18%
Somewhat inaccurate9%18%2%
Very inaccurate2%3%2%
Don't know/No opinion4%5%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Very accurate6%7%6%
Somewhat accurate27%38%31%
Somewhat inaccurate32%37%31%
Very inaccurate34%13%29%
Don't know/No opinion1%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Very accurate66%35%9%
Somewhat accurate21%33%29%
Somewhat inaccurate6%16%31%
Very inaccurate5%7%27%
Don't know/No opinion3%10%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Very accurate64%63%71%
Somewhat accurate18%23%19%
Somewhat inaccurate15%4%3%
Very inaccurate1%7%5%
Don't know/No opinion2%3%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Very accurate6%10%11%
Somewhat accurate41%29%24%
Somewhat inaccurate33%34%26%
Very inaccurate20%23%35%
Don't know/No opinion1%4%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Very accurate29%49%36%
Somewhat accurate24%33%30%
Somewhat inaccurate24%10%15%
Very inaccurate19%5%10%
Don't know/No opinion3%3%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Very accurate33%34%
Somewhat accurate29%26%
Somewhat inaccurate19%19%
Very inaccurate16%15%
Don't know/No opinion4%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Very accurate39%34%25%
Somewhat accurate32%28%20%
Somewhat inaccurate17%18%26%
Very inaccurate7%17%23%
Don't know/No opinion5%4%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Very accurate35%30%36%33%
Somewhat accurate33%39%20%22%
Somewhat inaccurate16%16%19%25%
Very inaccurate9%9%21%18%
Don't know/No opinion7%7%4%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Very accurate21%31%24%26%39%51%
Somewhat accurate55%28%28%25%26%21%
Somewhat inaccurate18%18%22%25%19%12%
Very inaccurate6%17%18%18%12%14%
Don't know/No opinion0%5%7%6%4%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Very accurate23%26%43%61%
Somewhat accurate31%30%25%18%
Somewhat inaccurate20%28%15%6%
Very inaccurate22%10%14%10%
Don't know/No opinion4%5%4%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Very accurate19%28%64%21%
Somewhat accurate32%29%21%21%
Somewhat inaccurate20%25%6%23%
Very inaccurate23%14%6%22%
Don't know/No opinion5%5%2%13%

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